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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Stepan Company (NYSE:SCL) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Stepan Company (NYSE:SCL) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基本面會對Stepan Company(紐約證券交易所代碼:SCL)當前的股價勢頭產生負面影響嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/06 07:54

Most readers would already be aware that Stepan's (NYSE:SCL) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Stepan's ROE.

大多數讀者已經意識到,Stepan(紐約證券交易所代碼:SCL)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了16%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。在本文中,我們決定重點關注 Stepan 的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Stepan is:

因此,根據上述公式,Stepan 的投資回報率爲:

4.3% = US$52m ÷ US$1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.3% = 5200萬美元 ÷ 12億美元(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.04 in profit.

“申報表” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入金額。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值1美元的股權,該公司就能獲得0.04美元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Stepan's Earnings Growth And 4.3% ROE

Stepan 的收益增長和 4.3% 的投資回報率的並排比較

At first glance, Stepan's ROE doesn't look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 13% either. Thus, the low net income growth of 2.4% seen by Stepan over the past five years could probably be the result of the low ROE.

乍一看,斯蒂芬的投資回報率看起來並不十分樂觀。一項快速的進一步研究表明,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的13%相比也並不理想。因此,Stepan在過去五年中看到的2.4%的低淨收入增長可能是投資回報率低的結果。

We then compared Stepan's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後,我們將Stepan的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長數字低於同期12%的行業平均增長率,這有點令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:SCL Past Earnings Growth February 6th 2024
紐約證券交易所:SCL過去的收益增長 2024年2月6日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for SCL? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。市場對SCL的未來展望進行了定價嗎?你可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is Stepan Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Stepan 是否有效地將利潤再投資?

Stepan has a low three-year median payout ratio of 21% (meaning, the company keeps the remaining 79% of profits) which means that the company is retaining more of its earnings. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this fact. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Stepan的三年派息率中位數很低,爲21%(這意味着該公司保留了剩餘的79%的利潤),這意味着該公司保留了更多的收益。但是,低收入增長數字並不能反映這一事實。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

In addition, Stepan has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 33% over the next three years.

此外,Stepan至少十年來一直在支付股息,這表明即使以犧牲業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內升至33%。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Stepan can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們認爲斯捷潘的表演可以有多種解釋。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。既然如此,分析師的最新預測顯示,該公司的收益將繼續擴大。要了解有關公司未來收益增長預測的更多信息,請查看這份關於分析師預測的免費報告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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