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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China International Marine Containers (Group) (SZSE:000039) the Stock Grows 7.5%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 53%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at China International Marine Containers (Group) (SZSE:000039) the Stock Grows 7.5%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 53%

儘管中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)(SZSE:000039)的收益呈下降趨勢,但該股仍增長了7.5%,使五年漲幅達到53%
Simply Wall St ·  02/06 22:49

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000039) share price is up 32% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 11% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 20% in the last year , including dividends .

一般而言,積極選股的目的是尋找回報優於市場平均水平的公司。根據我們的經驗,購買合適的股票可以顯著增加您的財富。例如,中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)有限公司(SZSE:000039)的股價在過去5年中上漲了32%,明顯超過了11%左右的市場回報率(不計股息)。但是,最近的回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,該股去年的回報率僅爲20%,包括股息。

Since it's been a strong week for China International Marine Containers (Group) shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由於這是中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)股東表現強勁的一週,讓我們來看看長期基本面的走勢。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During five years of share price growth, China International Marine Containers (Group) actually saw its EPS drop 32% per year.

在股價增長的五年中,中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)的每股收益實際上每年下降32%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評判該公司。由於每股收益似乎與股價不符,因此我們將改用其他指標。

On the other hand, China International Marine Containers (Group)'s revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 13% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

另一方面,中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)的收入增長良好,在過去五年中複合增長了13%。目前,管理層很有可能將收入增長置於每股收益增長之上。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000039 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 7th 2024
SZSE:000039 2024年2月7日收益和收入增長

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China International Marine Containers (Group)'s TSR for the last 5 years was 53%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)過去5年的總股東回報率爲53%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that China International Marine Containers (Group) has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 20% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 9%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China International Marine Containers (Group) (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高興看到中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)在過去十二個月中向股東提供了20%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即9%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向中國國際海運集裝箱(集團)確定了兩個警告信號(至少有一個不容忽視),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

如果你想與管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:業內人士一直在購買它們)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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