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Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd (SHSE:601116) Sheds CN¥526m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd (SHSE:601116) Sheds CN¥526m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years

三江購物俱樂部有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:601116)下跌5.26億元人民幣,公司收益和投資者回報率在過去五年中一直呈下降趨勢
Simply Wall St ·  02/07 20:46

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Sanjiang Shopping Club Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601116) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 29% over a half decade. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 22% over the last twelve months. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 29% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 17% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是,幾乎每個投資者都肯定會有表現過硬和表現不佳的股票。因此,從長遠來看,我們不會責怪三江購物俱樂部有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:601116)的股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了29%。而且我們懷疑長期信徒是唯一擔心的持有者,因爲股價在過去十二個月中下跌了22%。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了29%。當然,這種股價走勢很可能受到了整個時期大盤下跌17%的影響。

Since Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd has shed CN¥526m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於三江購物俱樂部在過去7天內已從其價值下跌了5.26億元人民幣,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由該企業的經濟推動的。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.4% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 7% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock.

在股價下跌的五年中,三江購物俱樂部有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降0.4%。每股收益的下降幅度低於股價每年下降的7%。這意味着市場此前對該股過於樂觀。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601116 Earnings Per Share Growth February 8th 2024
SHSE: 601116 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 8 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

不妨看看我們關於三江購物俱樂部的收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd, it has a TSR of -23% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。以三江購物俱樂部有限公司爲例,在過去的5年中,其股東回報率爲-23%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 20% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 24%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sanjiang Shopping ClubLtd (1 is a bit concerning) that you should be aware of.

儘管虧損從來都不是一件好事,但三江購物俱樂部的股東可以放心,包括股息在內,他們過去十二個月的20%虧損沒有市場損失24%左右那麼嚴重。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中4%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確定了三江購物俱樂部的兩個警告標誌(其中一個有點令人擔憂),你應該注意這些標誌。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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