CRRC's (SHSE:601766) Returns Have Hit A Wall
CRRC's (SHSE:601766) Returns Have Hit A Wall
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at CRRC (SHSE:601766) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
如果我們想找到一隻可以長期成倍增長的股票,我們應該尋找哪些潛在趨勢?在一個完美的世界中,我們希望看到一家公司向其業務投入更多資本,理想情況下,從這些資本中獲得的回報也在增加。如果你看到這一點,這通常意味着它是一家擁有良好商業模式和大量盈利再投資機會的公司。話雖如此,乍一看中國中車(SHSE: 601766),我們並不是對回報趨勢不屑一顧,但讓我們更深入地了解一下。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
資本使用回報率(ROCE):這是什麼?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on CRRC is:
爲了澄清一下你是否不確定,ROCE是評估公司從投資於其業務的資本中獲得多少稅前收入(按百分比計算)的指標。在 CRRC 上進行此計算的公式爲:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
已動用資本回報率 = 息稅前收益 (EBIT) ¥(總資產-流動負債)
0.055 = CN¥12b ÷ (CN¥477b - CN¥259b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
0.055 = 12億元人民幣 ÷(477億元人民幣-259億元人民幣) (基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。
Therefore, CRRC has an ROCE of 5.5%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 6.1% average generated by the Machinery industry.
因此,中國中車的投資回報率爲5.5%。就其本身而言,這是一個很低的數字,但大約是機械行業平均水平的6.1%。
In the above chart we have measured CRRC's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for CRRC.
在上圖中,我們將中國中車先前的投資回報率與之前的表現進行了對比,但可以說,未來更爲重要。如果你想了解分析師對未來的預測,你應該查看我們的中國中車免費報告。
The Trend Of ROCE
ROCE 的趨勢
In terms of CRRC's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has consistently earned 5.5% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 30% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
就中國中車的歷史投資回報率走勢而言,它並不完全值得關注。在過去五年中,該公司的收入一直保持在5.5%,在此期間,公司內部使用的資本增長了30%。這種糟糕的投資回報率目前並不能激發信心,隨着所用資本的增加,很明顯,該企業沒有將資金部署到高回報的投資中。
On a side note, CRRC's current liabilities are still rather high at 54% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
順便說一句,中國中車的流動負債仍然相當高,佔總資產的54%。這實際上意味着供應商(或短期債權人)正在爲業務的很大一部分提供資金,因此請注意,這可能會帶來一些風險因素。雖然這不一定是壞事,但如果這個比率較低,可能會有好處。
In Conclusion...
總之...
As we've seen above, CRRC's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Since the stock has declined 24% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
正如我們在上面看到的,中國中車的資本回報率沒有增加,但它正在對業務進行再投資。由於該股在過去五年中下跌了24%,因此投資者對這一趨勢的改善可能也不太樂觀。總而言之,多裝袋機的固有趨勢並不常見,因此,如果您想要這樣做,我們認爲您在其他地方可能會有更多的運氣。
If you want to continue researching CRRC, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
如果你想繼續研究CRRC,你可能有興趣了解我們的分析發現的兩個警告信號。
While CRRC isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
儘管CRRC的回報率並不高,但請查看這份免費的股票回報率高、資產負債表穩健的公司名單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。