Shanghai Stonehill Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002195) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?
Shanghai Stonehill Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002195) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?
Most readers would already be aware that Shanghai Stonehill Technology's (SZSE:002195) stock increased significantly by 8.2% over the past week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Stonehill Technology's ROE.
大多數讀者已經意識到,上海石山科技(深圳證券交易所:002195)的股票在過去一週大幅上漲了8.2%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。在本文中,我們決定重點關注上海石山科技的投資回報率。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股本回報率?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Stonehill Technology is:
因此,根據上述公式,上海石山科技的投資回報率爲:
2.2% = CN¥216m ÷ CN¥9.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
2.2% = 2.16億元人民幣 ÷ 96億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.
“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。這意味着,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就會產生0.02元人民幣的利潤。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。
Shanghai Stonehill Technology's Earnings Growth And 2.2% ROE
上海石山科技的收益增長和2.2%的投資回報率
It is quite clear that Shanghai Stonehill Technology's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 4.4%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Shanghai Stonehill Technology's five year net income decline of 36% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.
很明顯,上海石山科技的投資回報率相當低。不僅如此,即使與4.4%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率也完全不引人注目。出於這個原因,鑑於其投資回報率較低,上海石山科技五年淨收入下降了36%,這並不奇怪。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如-收益保留率低或資本配置不佳。
That being said, we compared Shanghai Stonehill Technology's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 4.8% in the same 5-year period.
話雖如此,我們將上海Stonehill Technology的表現與該行業的表現進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在5年同期以4.8%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai Stonehill Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水,還是沼澤的水域在等着你。與其他公司相比,上海石山科技的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。
Is Shanghai Stonehill Technology Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
上海石山科技是否在有效利用其利潤?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (where it is retaining 71% of its profits), Shanghai Stonehill Technology has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲29%(保留了71%的利潤),但如上所示,上海石山科技的收益卻有所下降。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。
Moreover, Shanghai Stonehill Technology has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
此外,上海Stonehill Technology派發股息已有至少十年或更長時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到股東更喜歡股息而不是收益增長。
Conclusion
結論
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shanghai Stonehill Technology. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 5 risks we have identified for Shanghai Stonehill Technology visit our risks dashboard for free.
總的來說,我們對上海石山科技有喜憂參半的感覺。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。要了解我們爲上海石山科技確定的5種風險,請免費訪問我們的風險控制面板。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。