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Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) A Risky Investment?

Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) A Risky Investment?

華大智造科技(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688114)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/09 01:35

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that MGI Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688114) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,華大智造有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688114)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does MGI Tech Carry?

MGI Tech揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 MGI Tech had debt of CN¥299.6m, up from none in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.16b in cash, leading to a CN¥4.86b net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,華大智造的債務爲2.996億元人民幣,高於一年內的零債務。但另一方面,它也有51.6億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲48.6億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688114 Debt to Equity History February 9th 2024
SHSE: 688114 2024 年 2 月 9 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is MGI Tech's Balance Sheet?

華大智造的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that MGI Tech had liabilities of CN¥1.33b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥408.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.16b in cash and CN¥803.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥4.22b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,華大智造的負債爲13.3億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲4.087億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有51.6億元的現金和8.031億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有422億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that MGI Tech has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, MGI Tech boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MGI Tech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這種盈餘表明華大智造的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,華大智造擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定華大智造未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

In the last year MGI Tech had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 28%, to CN¥3.1b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,華大智造科技在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了28%,至31億元人民幣。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

So How Risky Is MGI Tech?

那麼 MGI Tech的風險有多大?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year MGI Tech had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥2.7b of cash and made a loss of CN¥193m. With only CN¥4.86b on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - MGI Tech has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

從統計學上講,虧損的公司比賺錢的公司風險更大。說實話,去年MGI Tech出現了利息和稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在那段時間裏,它燒燬了27億加元的現金,損失了1.93億加元。由於資產負債表上只有4.86億元人民幣,看來它需要很快再次籌集資金。總體而言,其資產負債表目前似乎風險不大,但在看到正自由現金流之前,我們始終保持謹慎。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如-MGI Tech 有 1 個警告標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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