Morningstar's (NASDAQ:MORN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Impressive 127% Return Over the Last Five Years
Morningstar's (NASDAQ:MORN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Impressive 127% Return Over the Last Five Years
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. One great example is Morningstar, Inc. (NASDAQ:MORN) which saw its share price drive 120% higher over five years. In the last week shares have slid back 1.2%.
任何股票(假設你不使用槓桿)的最大損失是你的資金的100%。但簡而言之,一家好的公司的股價可以上漲超過100%。晨星公司(納斯達克股票代碼:MORN)就是一個很好的例子,該公司的股價在五年內上漲了120%。上週股價下跌了1.2%。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報步調一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Morningstar actually saw its EPS drop 17% per year.
在五年的股價增長中,晨星的每股收益實際上每年下降17%。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評判該公司。由於每股收益似乎與股價不符,因此我們將改用其他指標。
We doubt the modest 0.5% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Morningstar's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 15% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
我們懷疑0.5%的適度股息收益率是否吸引了許多買家購買該股。另一方面,晨星的收入增長良好,在過去五年中複合增長率爲15%。目前,管理層很有可能將收入增長置於每股收益增長之上。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Morningstar
可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應該可以幫助您對晨星形成看法
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Morningstar's TSR for the last 5 years was 127%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,晨星過去5年的股東總回報率爲127%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Morningstar shareholders are up 17% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 18% per year for five years. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Morningstar has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
晨星股東今年增長了17%(甚至包括股息)。但是這種回報不及市場。如果我們回顧五年,回報率甚至更高,五年內每年爲18%。儘管股價上漲放緩,但該業務很有可能繼續保持強勁的執行力。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——晨星有兩個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。
Of course Morningstar may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,晨星可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。