When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may consider BAIC Motor Corporation Limited (HKG:1958) as a highly attractive investment with its 3.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for BAIC Motor as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
SEHK:1958 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 9th 2024 If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on BAIC Motor.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, BAIC Motor would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 39% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 12% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 23%.
With this information, we are not surprised that BAIC Motor is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that BAIC Motor maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for BAIC Motor that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of BAIC Motor's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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