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China Pacific Insurance (Group)'s (SHSE:601601) Earnings Have Declined Over Three Years, Contributing to Shareholders 25% Loss

China Pacific Insurance (Group)'s (SHSE:601601) Earnings Have Declined Over Three Years, Contributing to Shareholders 25% Loss

中國太平洋保險(集團)(SHSE: 601601)的收益在三年內有所下降,導致股東虧損25%
Simply Wall St ·  02/09 18:22

China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601601) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 14% in the last month. It's not great that the stock is down over the last three years. But on the bright side, its return of -34%, is better than the market, which is down 28%.

中國太平洋保險(集團)股份有限公司(SHSE: 601601)的股東應該很高興看到上個月股價上漲了14%。該股在過去三年中下跌並不好。但好的一面是,其-34%的回報率好於下跌28%的市場。

While the stock has risen 8.6% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股在過去一週上漲了8.6%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,但讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the three years that the share price fell, China Pacific Insurance (Group)'s earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 12% each year. The 13% average annual share price decline is remarkably close to the EPS decline. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn't changed all that much over time. It seems like the share price is reflecting the declining earnings per share.

在股價下跌的三年中,中國太平洋保險(集團)的每股收益(EPS)每年下降12%。年平均股價下跌13%,與每股收益的下降非常接近。因此,隨着時間的推移,人們對該股的情緒似乎並沒有太大變化。股價似乎反映了每股收益的下降。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了 EPS 隨着時間的推移是如何變化的(點擊圖片可以看到確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601601 Earnings Per Share Growth February 9th 2024
SHSE: 601601 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 9 日

This free interactive report on China Pacific Insurance (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於中國太平洋保險(集團)收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, China Pacific Insurance (Group)'s TSR for the last 3 years was -25%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,中國太平洋保險(集團)過去3年的股東總回報率爲-25%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that China Pacific Insurance (Group) shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 2.3% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 0.6% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Pacific Insurance (Group) better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for China Pacific Insurance (Group) you should be aware of.

很高興看到中國太平洋保險(集團)的股東去年獲得了 2.3% 的股東總回報率。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年0.6%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。長期追蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中國太平洋保險(集團),我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個很好的例子:我們發現了中國太平洋保險(集團)的3個警告信號,你應該注意。

Of course China Pacific Insurance (Group) may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,中國太平洋保險(集團)可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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