With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x Zhongmin Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600163) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 27x and even P/E's higher than 48x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Zhongmin Energy has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhongmin Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Zhongmin Energy's Growth Trending?
Zhongmin Energy's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.7%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 96% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 21% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 41%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Zhongmin Energy's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Zhongmin Energy's P/E
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Zhongmin Energy maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhongmin Energy that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Zhongmin Energy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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