With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Daqo New Energy Corp. (NYSE:DQ) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Semiconductor companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.1x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Daqo New Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?
Daqo New Energy hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Daqo New Energy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Daqo New Energy's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, despite the drawbacks experienced in the last 12 months. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% each year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 26% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Daqo New Energy's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Daqo New Energy's P/S?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Daqo New Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Daqo New Energy (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Daqo New Energy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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