What Does Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's (NYSE:TMHC) Share Price Indicate?
What Does Taylor Morrison Home Corporation's (NYSE:TMHC) Share Price Indicate?
While Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading at close to its 52-week high. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Taylor Morrison Home's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
儘管泰勒·莫里森家居公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:TMHC)的市值可能不是最大的,但它在過去幾周內以相對較大的價格上漲帶領紐約證券交易所上漲。最近股價的上漲意味着該公司的交易價格接近52周高點。由於許多分析師都在報道中盤股,我們可能預計,任何對價格敏感的公告都已計入該股的股價。但是,如果股票仍然很便宜怎麼辦?今天,我們將分析有關泰勒·莫里森家居前景和估值的最新數據,看看機會是否仍然存在。
What's The Opportunity In Taylor Morrison Home?
泰勒·莫里森家裏有什麼機會?
Taylor Morrison Home appears to be overvalued by 21% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$53.91 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of $44.51. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Taylor Morrison Home's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
根據我們的折扣現金流估值,泰勒·莫里森房屋目前似乎被高估了21%。該股目前的市場定價爲53.91美元,而我們的內在價值爲44.51美元。對於想要買入的投資者來說,這不是最好的消息!但是,未來還有其他低價買入的機會嗎?鑑於Taylor Morrison Home的股票波動相當大(即其價格相對於其他市場的價格變動被放大),這可能意味着價格可能會下跌,從而使我們有機會在未來再次買入。這是基於其高貝塔值,這是衡量股價波動的良好指標。
What kind of growth will Taylor Morrison Home generate?
泰勒·莫里森家居將帶來什麼樣的增長?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Taylor Morrison Home, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -17%, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能需要在購買公司股票之前考慮公司的前景。以低廉的價格收購一家前景看好的優秀公司永遠是一項不錯的投資,因此,讓我們也來看看公司的未來預期。儘管就泰勒·莫里森家居而言,預計其收益將實現-17%的負增長,這無助於建立其投資理念。看來未來不確定性的風險很高,至少在短期內是如此。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? If you believe TMHC is currently trading above its value, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
你是股東嗎?如果您認爲TMHC目前的交易價格高於其價值,那麼高價賣出並在其價格跌至實際價值時再次回購可以獲利。鑑於負增長前景帶來的風險,這可能是降低投資組合風險的合適時機。但是在做出這個決定之前,先看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on TMHC for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. you may want to reconsider buying the stock at this time. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?
你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你關注TMHC已有一段時間了,那麼現在可能不是入股的最佳時機。此時你可能需要重新考慮買入該股。除了負面的未來前景外,其價格已超過其真實價值。但是,還有其他重要因素我們今天沒有考慮,例如其管理的往績。如果將來價格下跌,您是否足夠了解情況,可以購買?
If you want to dive deeper into Taylor Morrison Home, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Taylor Morrison Home you should be aware of.
如果你想更深入地了解泰勒·莫里森的住宅,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了一個你應該注意的泰勒·莫里森家的警告標誌。
If you are no longer interested in Taylor Morrison Home, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果你不再對Taylor Morrison Home感興趣,你可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。