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Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 14% This Past Week

Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Jumps 14% This Past Week

上海安傑集團有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600643)的收益軌跡可能轉爲正值,因爲該股上週上漲了14%
Simply Wall St ·  02/12 17:43

It's nice to see the Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600643) share price up 14% in a week. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. In fact, the share price is down 56%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

很高興見到上海 AJ 集團有限公司。, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:600643)股價在一週內上漲了14%。但是,如果你看看過去的五年,回報並不理想。實際上,股價下跌了56%,遠低於購買指數基金所能獲得的回報。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週令股東更加放心,但在過去五年中,他們仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否是造成下降的原因。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the five years over which the share price declined, Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 23% each year. The share price decline of 15% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.

在股價下跌的五年中,上海安傑集團有限公司的每股收益(EPS)每年下降23%。股價每年下跌15%,沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,投資者可能預計每股收益將反彈——或者他們此前可能已經預見到每股收益將下降。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600643 Earnings Per Share Growth February 12th 2024
SHSE: 600643 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 12 日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -49%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,上海安傑集團有限公司過去5年的股東總回報率爲-49%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Shanghai Aj GroupLtd shareholders are down 20% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -22%. Unfortunately, last year's performance is a deterioration of an already poor long term track record, given the loss of 8% per year over the last five years. Weak performance over the long term usually destroys market confidence in a stock, but bargain hunters may want to take a closer look for signs of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Aj GroupLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.

上海安傑集團有限公司的股東在十二個月內下跌了20%(甚至包括股息),這與-22%的市場回報率相差不遠。不幸的是,鑑於過去五年中每年虧損8%,去年的表現比本已糟糕的長期記錄有所惡化。長期表現疲軟通常會破壞市場對股票的信心,但討價還價者可能需要仔細觀察轉機的跡象。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解上海安傑集團有限公司,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的5個上海Aj GroupLtd的警告標誌,其中兩個有點不愉快。

We will like Shanghai Aj GroupLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些重大的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡上海 Aj GroupLtd。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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