Does Sinopec Oilfield Equipment (SZSE:000852) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Sinopec Oilfield Equipment (SZSE:000852) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Sinopec Oilfield Equipment Corporation (SZSE:000852) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,中石化油田設備股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000852)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲地離開。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's Debt?
中石化油田設備的債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sinopec Oilfield Equipment had CN¥2.34b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥873.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.46b.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,中石化油田設備在2023年9月有23.4億元人民幣的債務;與前一年大致相同。但是,它確實有8.730億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲14.6億元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's Balance Sheet?
中石化油田設備的資產負債表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sinopec Oilfield Equipment had liabilities of CN¥6.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥107.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥873.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.31b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.52b.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,中石化油田設備在12個月內到期的負債爲66.0億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲1.07億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有8.730億元人民幣的現金以及價值33.1億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額25.2億元人民幣。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Sinopec Oilfield Equipment has a market capitalization of CN¥5.47b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲中石化油田設備的市值爲547億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。
While we wouldn't worry about Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.8 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. More concerning, Sinopec Oilfield Equipment saw its EBIT drop by 5.4% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
雖然我們不擔心中石化油田設備的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲4.1,但我們認爲其1.8倍的超低利息覆蓋率是高槓杆率的標誌。看來該企業會產生巨額折舊和攤銷費用,因此其債務負擔可能比最初出現的要重,因爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤可以說是衡量收益的豐厚指標。看來很明顯,借錢成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。更令人擔憂的是,中石化油田設備的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了5.4%。如果這種收益趨勢持續下去,該公司在償還債務方面將面臨一場艱苦的鬥爭。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定中石化油田設備未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sinopec Oilfield Equipment actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,中石化油田設備產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。
Our View
我們的觀點
Sinopec Oilfield Equipment's interest cover and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Sinopec Oilfield Equipment is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sinopec Oilfield Equipment (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
在我們看來,中石化油田設備的利息覆蓋率和淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例無疑對其造成了壓力。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流。從上面提到的所有角度來看,在我們看來,由於其債務,中石化油田設備確實是一項風險較大的投資。並非所有風險都是壞的,因爲如果得到回報,它可以提高股價回報,但是這種債務風險值得牢記。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了中石化油田設備的 2 個警告標誌(1 個讓我們有點不舒服),你應該注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。