Despite an already strong run, Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNCR) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Synchronoss Technologies may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.5x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Synchronoss Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?
Synchronoss Technologies hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Keen to find out how analysts think Synchronoss Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Synchronoss Technologies' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 25% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 23% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 15%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Synchronoss Technologies' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Shares in Synchronoss Technologies have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It's clear to see that Synchronoss Technologies maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Synchronoss Technologies' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
Having said that, be aware Synchronoss Technologies is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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