Investing in Inter Parfums (NASDAQ:IPAR) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 126% Gain
Investing in Inter Parfums (NASDAQ:IPAR) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 126% Gain
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance the Inter Parfums, Inc. (NASDAQ:IPAR) share price is 114% higher than it was three years ago. How nice for those who held the stock! Also pleasing for shareholders was the 23% gain in the last three months. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 11% in 90 days).
在任何股票上(假設你不使用槓桿),你最多可能損失的就是100%的資金。但是,當你選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,你可以 使 超過 100%。例如,Inter Parfums, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:IPAR)的股價比三年前高出114%。對於那些持有股票的人來說真是太棒了!同樣令股東高興的是,過去三個月的漲幅爲23%。但是,這一舉措很可能得到了相當活躍的市場(90天內上漲了11%)的推動。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
因此,讓我們調查一下,看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Inter Parfums was able to grow its EPS at 70% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 29% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
Inter Parfums得以在三年內將其每股收益以每年70%的速度增長,這推動了股價的上漲。每股收益的增長高於股價29%的平均年增長率。因此,市場似乎在某種程度上放緩了對增長的預期。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪水比資本相似公司的大多數首席執行官都要適中。一直值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Inter Parfums, it has a TSR of 126% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就Inter Parfums而言,在過去的3年中,其股東回報率爲126%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We're pleased to report that Inter Parfums shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 31% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 17% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Inter Parfums , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
我們很高興地向大家報告,Inter Parfums的股東在一年內獲得了31%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年17%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經確定了Inter Parfums的兩個警告信號,了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。