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Is The Market Rewarding KTK Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603680) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

Is The Market Rewarding KTK Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603680) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

由於基本面喜憂參半,市場是否以負面情緒回報KTK集團有限公司(SHSE: 603680)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/20 21:12

With its stock down 29% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard KTK Group (SHSE:603680). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to KTK Group's ROE today.

KTK集團(SHSE: 603680)的股票在過去三個月中下跌了29%,很容易被忽視。但是,我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定它們是否與價格下跌有關。基本面通常決定市場結果,因此研究公司的財務狀況是有意義的。特別是,我們今天將關注KTK集團的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for KTK Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,KTK集團的投資回報率爲:

4.9% = CN¥241m ÷ CN¥4.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.9% = 2.41億元人民幣 ÷ 49億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。另一種思考方式是,公司每擁有價值1元人民幣的股權,就能獲得0.05元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of KTK Group's Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE

KTK集團的收益增長和4.9%的投資回報率的並排比較

It is hard to argue that KTK Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.6%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 15% seen by KTK Group was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

很難說KTK集團的投資回報率本身就非常好。不僅如此,即使與7.6%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率也完全不引人注目。因此,說KTK集團五年來淨收入下降15%可能是其投資回報率降低的結果,這可能沒有錯。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該企業的資本分配不佳,或者該公司的派息率非常高。

So, as a next step, we compared KTK Group's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將KTK集團的表現與行業進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以12%的速度增長收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603680 Past Earnings Growth February 21st 2024
SHSE: 603680 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 21 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if KTK Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水,還是沼澤的水域在等着你。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查KTK集團相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is KTK Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

KTK集團是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (where it is retaining 68% of its profits), KTK Group has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲32%(保留了68%的利潤),但如上所示,KTK集團的收益卻有所下降。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

Moreover, KTK Group has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,KTK集團支付股息已有六年了,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到,儘管收益一直在萎縮,但股東更喜歡持續的分紅。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about KTK Group. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for KTK Group.

總的來說,我們對KTK集團有喜憂參半的感覺。儘管該公司的利潤保留率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能會阻礙其收益增長。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲KTK集團確定的兩種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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