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Is Lao Feng Xiang (SHSE:600612) A Risky Investment?

Is Lao Feng Xiang (SHSE:600612) A Risky Investment?

老鳳翔(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600612)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/21 17:44

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600612) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,老鳳祥有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600612)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Lao Feng Xiang's Debt?

老鳳祥的債務是什麼?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lao Feng Xiang had CN¥8.32b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥11.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.79b.

您可以點擊下圖了解更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,2023年9月,老鳳祥的債務爲83.2億元人民幣;與前一年大致相同。但是,它確實有111億元人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,因此淨現金爲27.9億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600612 Debt to Equity History February 21st 2024
SHSE: 600612 2024 年 2 月 21 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Lao Feng Xiang's Balance Sheet?

老鳳祥的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lao Feng Xiang had liabilities of CN¥12.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥311.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥11.1b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.64b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥4.85b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,老豐祥的負債爲126億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲3.118億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它還有111億元人民幣的現金以及價值66.4億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有4.85億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Lao Feng Xiang is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Lao Feng Xiang boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明老鳳祥正在以一種看似既安全又保守的方式使用債務。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,老鳳祥擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Another good sign is that Lao Feng Xiang has been able to increase its EBIT by 27% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lao Feng Xiang can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

另一個好兆頭是,老豐祥已經能夠在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤提高27%,從而更容易償還債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定老鳳祥能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Lao Feng Xiang may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Lao Feng Xiang actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。老鳳祥的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。令所有股東感到高興的是,在過去三年中,老鳳祥產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。在保持貸款人的支持方面,沒有什麼比流入的現金更好的了。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Lao Feng Xiang has CN¥2.79b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 103% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥4.8b. So we don't think Lao Feng Xiang's use of debt is risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Lao Feng Xiang, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,老鳳祥擁有27.9億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的103%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了48億元人民幣的收入。因此,我們認爲老鳳祥使用債務沒有風險。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果你對老豐祥感興趣,你很可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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