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Health Check: How Prudently Does Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd (SZSE:002678) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd (SZSE:002678) Use Debt?

健康檢查:廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002678)如何謹慎地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  02/22 20:03

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Guangzhou Pearl River Piano Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002678) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所:002678)使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd's Net Debt?

廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd had debt of CN¥418.5m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥550.9m over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.53b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.12b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司的債務爲4.185億元人民幣,較一年內的5.509億元人民幣有所減少。但是,它確實有15.3億加元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲11.2億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002678 Debt to Equity History February 23rd 2024
SZSE: 002678 2024 年 2 月 23 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd's Liabilities

看看廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥945.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥115.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.53b and CN¥277.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥750.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲9.455億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲1.155億元人民幣。另一方面,它有15.3億元人民幣的現金和價值2.778億元人民幣的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出7.508億元人民幣 負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這種短期的流動性表明,由於其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘,廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Over 12 months, Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.2b, which is a fall of 29%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在過去的12個月中,廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司的息稅前利潤水平出現虧損,收入下降至12億元人民幣,下降了29%。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

So How Risky Is Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd?

那麼廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司的風險有多大?

While Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥29m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Guangzhou Pearl River Piano GroupLtd (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

儘管廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司在息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上虧損,但其實際賬面利潤爲2900萬元人民幣。因此,從面值來看,考慮到現金,我們認爲短期內風險不大。由於去年的收入增長平平,我們認爲投資機會並不特別引人注目。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該了解我們在廣州珠江鋼琴集團有限公司發現的3個警告標誌(包括一個不容忽視的警告)。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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