Is Bona Film Group (SZSE:001330) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Is Bona Film Group (SZSE:001330) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Bona Film Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001330) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,博納影業集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:001330)也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
How Much Debt Does Bona Film Group Carry?
博納電影集團揹負了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Bona Film Group had CN¥4.13b of debt, an increase on CN¥3.58b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.08b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.05b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,博納電影集團在一年內有41.3億元人民幣的債務,比35.8億元人民幣有所增加。另一方面,它擁有20.8億元人民幣的現金,淨負債約爲20.5億加元。
A Look At Bona Film Group's Liabilities
看看博納電影集團的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Bona Film Group had liabilities of CN¥5.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥4.13b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.08b and CN¥991.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥6.67b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,博納電影集團在12個月內到期的負債爲56.0億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲41.3億元人民幣。另一方面,它有20.8億元人民幣的現金和價值9.911億元人民幣的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出66.7億元人民幣。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.78b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Bona Film Group's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Bona Film Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
相對於其77.8億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注博納電影集團對債務的使用。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定博納電影集團能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
In the last year Bona Film Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 56%, to CN¥1.6b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
去年,博納電影集團在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了56%,至16億元人民幣。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While Bona Film Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥400m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥394m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. For riskier companies like Bona Film Group I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
儘管博納電影集團收入的下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲4億元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。例如,我們不希望看到去年3.94億元人民幣的虧損重演。因此,坦率地說,我們確實認爲這是有風險的。對於像博納電影集團這樣的風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡關注長期的利潤和收入趨勢。幸運的是,您可以點擊查看我們的利潤、收入和運營現金流的交互式圖表。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。