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Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Bestechnic(上海)有限公司的收益未達到分析師的預期:以下是分析師現在的預測
Simply Wall St ·  02/23 20:12

Last week, you might have seen that Bestechnic (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688608) released its yearly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.5% to CN¥113 in the past week. Results overall were not great, with earnings of CN¥1.03 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit CN¥2.2b and were slightly better than forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

上週,你可能已經看到百事達(上海)有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:688608)向市場發佈了其年度業績。早期的反應並不樂觀,過去一週股價下跌8.5%,至113元人民幣。總體業績並不理想,每股收益爲1.03元人民幣,遠低於分析師的預期。同時,收入達到22億元人民幣,略好於預期。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後預測,以了解估計對明年的預測。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:688608 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 24th 2024
SHSE: 688608 收益和收入增長 2024 年 2 月 24 日

After the latest results, the eight analysts covering Bestechnic (Shanghai) are now predicting revenues of CN¥2.87b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a major 32% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 151% to CN¥2.59. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥2.72b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.82 in 2024. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on Bestechnic (Shanghai) after the latest results; whilethe analysts lifted revenue numbers, they also administered a minor downgrade to per-share earnings expectations.

根據最新業績,報道Bestechnic(上海)的八位分析師現在預測2024年的收入爲28.7億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這將反映出收入與過去12個月相比增長了32%。預計每股法定收益將反彈151%,至2.59元人民幣。在本報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2024年的收入爲27.2億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲2.82元人民幣。因此,很明顯,在最新業績公佈後,人們對Bestechnic(上海)的共識喜憂參半;儘管分析師提高了收入數字,但他們也對每股收益預期進行了小幅下調。

The consensus price target was unchanged at CN¥148, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Bestechnic (Shanghai), with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥178 and the most bearish at CN¥101 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Bestechnic (Shanghai) shareholders.

共識目標股價維持在148元人民幣不變,這表明儘管對利潤和收入預測進行了一些調整,但該業務的表現大致符合預期。但是,固定單一價格目標可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師目標股價的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估計範圍,看看對公司的估值是否有任何分歧。對Bestechnic(上海)的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲178元人民幣,最看跌的爲每股101元人民幣。分析師對該業務的看法肯定各不相同,但我們認爲,估計的分歧還不夠廣泛,不足以表明Bestechnic(上海)股東可能會有極端的結果。

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Bestechnic (Shanghai)'s rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 32% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 23% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 24% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Bestechnic (Shanghai) to grow faster than the wider industry.

這些估計很有趣,但是在查看預測與Bestechnic(上海)過去的表現以及與同一行業的同行進行比較時,可以更粗略地描述一些細節。從最新估計中可以明顯看出,Bestechnic(上海)的增長率預計將大幅加快,預計到2024年底的年化收入增長率爲32%,將明顯快於其過去五年中每年23%的歷史增長。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入將以每年24%的速度增長。顯而易見,儘管增長前景比最近更加光明,但分析師也預計Bestechnic(上海)的增長速度將超過整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥148, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

要了解的最重要的一點是,分析師下調了每股收益的預期,這表明公佈這些業績後,市場情緒明顯下降。令人高興的是,他們還上調了收入預期,並預測其增長速度將超過整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在148元人民幣,最新估計不足以對其目標價格產生影響。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Bestechnic (Shanghai) analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們仍然認爲該業務的長期發展軌跡對於投資者來說更爲重要。根據多位Bestechnic(上海)分析師的估計,到2025年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Bestechnic (Shanghai) you should be aware of.

但是,你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了你應該注意的Bestechnic(上海)的1個警告標誌。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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