share_log

The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd (SZSE:002406) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

The Past Five-year Earnings Decline for Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd (SZSE:002406) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

許昌遠東傳動軸有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002406)過去五年的收益下降可能解釋了股東的長期虧損
Simply Wall St ·  02/24 21:54

It's nice to see the Xuchang Yuandong Drive Shaft Co.Ltd (SZSE:002406) share price up 13% in a week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 17% in that half decade.

很高興看到許昌遠東傳動軸有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002406)的股價在一週內上漲了13%。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去五年的回報並不令人滿意。購買指數基金的表現要好得多,因爲該股在那五年中下跌了17%。

On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥445m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,該公司的市值在過去的7天內就增加了4.45億元人民幣,所以讓我們看看我們能否確定是什麼推動了股東五年的虧損。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Looking back five years, both Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 24% per year. The share price decline of 4% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around. The high P/E ratio of 47.70 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.

回顧五年,許昌遠東傳動軸有限公司的股價和每股收益均有所下降;後者每年下降24%。股價每年下跌4%,沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。股價反應相對平淡,可能是因爲市場預計業務將好轉。47.70的高市盈率表明股東認爲未來幾年收益將增長。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002406 Earnings Per Share Growth February 25th 2024
SZSE: 002406 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 25 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。查看這張許昌遠東傳動軸有限公司收益、收入和現金流的互動圖表,深入了解收益。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -7.2%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,許昌遠東傳動軸有限公司在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-7.2%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd shares lost 7.2% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 17%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 1.4% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

儘管許昌遠東傳動軸有限公司的股價全年下跌7.2%肯定令人失望,但這還沒有市場17%的跌幅那麼糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年1.4%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。即便如此,請注意,許昌遠東傳動軸有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了4個警告信號,其中一個是令人擔憂的...

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論