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Shenyang Jinbei Automotive Company Limited's (SHSE:600609) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Shenyang Jinbei Automotive Company Limited's (SHSE:600609) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

瀋陽金盃汽車股份有限公司(SHSE: 600609)的股票最近表現疲軟,但財務前景看起來不錯:市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/02/26 12:23

Shenyang Jinbei Automotive (SHSE:600609) has had a rough three months with its share price down 23%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's ROE in this article.

瀋陽金盃汽車(上海證券交易所代碼:600609)經歷了艱難的三個月,其股價下跌了23%。但是,如果你密切關注,你可能會發現其關鍵財務指標看起來相當不錯,考慮到市場通常會獎勵更具彈性的長期基本面,這可能意味着該股有可能在長期內上漲。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究瀋陽金盃汽車的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenyang Jinbei Automotive is:

因此,根據上述公式,瀋陽金盃汽車的投資回報率爲:

29% = CN¥392m ÷ CN¥1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

29% = 3.92億元人民幣 ÷ 14億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.29 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的利潤。這意味着,每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.29元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's Earnings Growth And 29% ROE

瀋陽金盃汽車的收益增長和29%的投資回報率的並排比較

To begin with, Shenyang Jinbei Automotive has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 7.3% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. For this reason, Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's five year net income decline of 4.0% raises the question as to why the high ROE didn't translate into earnings growth. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,瀋陽金盃汽車的投資回報率相當高,這很有趣。其次,與該行業報告的平均投資回報率7.3%的比較也不會被我們忽視。出於這個原因,瀋陽金盃汽車五年淨收入下降了4.0%,這就提出了爲什麼高投資回報率沒有轉化爲收益增長的問題。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他一些因素在起作用,阻礙了公司的發展。例如,可能是該公司的派息率很高,或者企業的資本配置不當。

That being said, we compared Shenyang Jinbei Automotive's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 3.8% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將瀋陽金盃汽車的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在5年同期的收益增長了3.8%,這讓我們感到擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600609 Past Earnings Growth February 26th 2024
SHSE: 600609 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 26 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shenyang Jinbei Automotive fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。與其他公司相比,瀋陽金盃汽車的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Shenyang Jinbei Automotive Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

瀋陽金盃汽車是否有效地將利潤再投資?

Because Shenyang Jinbei Automotive doesn't pay any dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

由於瀋陽金盃汽車不支付任何股息,因此我們推斷它保留了所有利潤,考慮到它沒有盈利增長這一事實,這相當令人困惑。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Summary

摘要

In total, it does look like Shenyang Jinbei Automotive has some positive aspects to its business. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth.

總的來說,瀋陽金盃汽車的業務看起來確實有一些積極的方面。但是,鑑於高投資回報率和高利潤保留率,我們預計該公司將實現強勁的收益增長,但情況並非如此。這表明該業務可能面臨一些外部威脅,這阻礙了其增長。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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