Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 7.5% Over the Past 5 Years, CITIC (HKG:267) Has Been Growing Its Earnings
Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 7.5% Over the Past 5 Years, CITIC (HKG:267) Has Been Growing Its Earnings
While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the CITIC Limited (HKG:267) share price has gained 11% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 32% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.
儘管這不是一個令人難以置信的舉動,但很高興看到中信有限公司(HKG: 267)的股價在過去三個月中上漲了11%。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去五年的回報並不令人滿意。畢竟,當時股價下跌了32%,表現大大低於市場。
The recent uptick of 4.5% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
最近4.5%的上漲可能是即將發生的事情的積極信號,因此讓我們來看看歷史基本面。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
While the share price declined over five years, CITIC actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 11% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
儘管股價在五年內下跌,但中信實際上設法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增長11%。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性虧損或收益)。或者,過去的增長預期可能是不合理的。
Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.
由於每股收益增長與股價下跌之間缺乏相關性,值得一看其他指標,以了解股價走勢。
We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.
我們注意到股息一直保持健康,因此這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。我們目前尚不清楚爲什麼股價下跌,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。
If you are thinking of buying or selling CITIC stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您正在考慮買入或賣出中信股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, CITIC's TSR for the last 5 years was -7.5%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。碰巧的是,中信過去5年的股東總回報率爲-7.5%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Although it hurts that CITIC returned a loss of 1.2% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 7.5%. What is more upsetting is the 1.5% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CITIC better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that CITIC is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
儘管中信在過去十二個月中回報了1.2%的虧損令人痛心,但整個市場實際上更糟,回報了7.5%的虧損。更令人沮喪的是,在過去的五年中,投資者每年遭受1.5%的損失。這種股價走勢並不特別令人鼓舞,但至少虧損正在放緩。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解中信,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,請注意,中信在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警告信號,您應該知道...
But note: CITIC may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:中信可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。