Is The Market Rewarding Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603396) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?
Is The Market Rewarding Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603396) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?
Yingkou Jinchen Machinery (SHSE:603396) has had a rough three months with its share price down 15%. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's ROE today.
營口金晨機械(上海證券交易所代碼:603396)經歷了艱難的三個月,其股價下跌了15%。但是,我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定它們是否與價格下跌有關。股票價格通常由公司的長期財務業績驅動,因此我們決定更多地關注公司的財務業績。特別是,我們今天將關注營口金晨機械的投資回報率。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
你如何計算股本回報率?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yingkou Jinchen Machinery is:
因此,根據上述公式,營口金晨機械的投資回報率爲:
6.4% = CN¥100m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
6.4% = 1億元人民幣 ÷ 16億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.06 in profit.
“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。另一種看法是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就能獲得0.06元人民幣的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。
A Side By Side comparison of Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE
營口金晨機械的收益增長和6.4%的投資回報率的並排比較
When you first look at it, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.4%. Having said that, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's five year net income decline rate was 4.4%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.
乍一看,營口金晨機械的投資回報率看起來並不那麼吸引人。然而,一項更仔細的研究表明,該公司的投資回報率與6.4%的行業平均水平相似。話雖如此,營口金晨機械五年淨收入下降率爲4.4%。請記住,該公司的投資回報率確實略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。
That being said, we compared Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 26% in the same 5-year period.
話雖如此,我們將營口金晨機械的表現與該行業的表現進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在同期5年內以26%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論情況如何,投資者都應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。如果你想知道營口金晨機械的估值,可以看看這個衡量營口金晨機械與行業相比的市盈率指標。
Is Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
營口金晨機械是否在高效利用利潤?
In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (that is, a retention ratio of 71%), the fact that Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲29%(即留存率爲71%),但營口金晨機械的收益萎縮這一事實還是相當令人費解的。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。
In addition, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.
此外,營口金晨機械六年來一直在派發股息,這表明儘管收益有所下降,但管理層仍傾向於繼續支付股息。
Summary
摘要
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Yingkou Jinchen Machinery. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Yingkou Jinchen Machinery.
總的來說,我們對營口金晨機械的感覺喜憂參半。儘管該公司的利潤保留率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能會阻礙其收益增長。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲營口金晨機械確定的三種風險。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。