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Shanghai Chemspec (SHSE:688602) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Shanghai Chemspec (SHSE:688602) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

上海化工集團(上海證券交易所代碼:688602)似乎非常明智地使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 17:41

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shanghai Chemspec Corporation (SHSE:688602) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,上海凱博股份有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:688602)也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Shanghai Chemspec's Net Debt?

上海凱博的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Shanghai Chemspec had CN¥220.5m of debt, up from CN¥200.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.16b in cash, so it actually has CN¥944.4m net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,上海化工集團的債務爲2.205億元人民幣,高於去年同期的2.04億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有11.6億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有9.444億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688602 Debt to Equity History February 27th 2024
SHSE: 688602 2024 年 2 月 27 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Shanghai Chemspec's Liabilities

看看上海化工的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Chemspec had liabilities of CN¥445.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥116.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.16b in cash and CN¥359.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥962.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,上海化工的負債爲4.459億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲1.16億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有11.6億元的現金和3.597億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出9.627億元人民幣 負債。

It's good to see that Shanghai Chemspec has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Shanghai Chemspec boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

很高興看到上海Chemspec的資產負債表上有充足的流動性,這表明對負債的管理比較保守。由於其強大的淨資產狀況,它不太可能面臨貸款人的問題。簡而言之,上海Chemspec擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In fact Shanghai Chemspec's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 21% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shanghai Chemspec's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

實際上,上海Chemspec的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了21%。在還清債務方面,收入下降對健康的作用並不比含糖的蘇打水更有用。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是上海Chemspec的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Shanghai Chemspec has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Shanghai Chemspec burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。儘管上海Chemspec的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,上海Chemspec燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Chemspec has net cash of CN¥944.4m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with Shanghai Chemspec's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Chemspec you should be aware of.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,上海化工集團的淨現金爲9.444億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。因此,我們對上海Chemspec的債務使用並不感到困擾。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們發現了你應該注意的上海 Chemspec 的一個警告信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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