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Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

浙江合川科技股份有限公司剛剛錯過收益——但分析師已經更新了模型
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 18:43

As you might know, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688320) last week released its latest full-year, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Results showed a clear earnings miss, with CN¥1.1b revenue coming in 6.4% lower than what the analystsexpected. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.35 missed the mark badly, arriving some 42% below what was expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

你可能知道,浙江合川科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688320)上週發佈了最新的全年業績,但對股東來說情況並不那麼好。結果顯示盈利明顯下滑,11億元人民幣的收入比分析師的預期低6.4%。0.35元人民幣的法定每股收益(EPS)嚴重未達到目標,比預期低約42%。對於投資者來說,盈利是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,查看分析師對明年的預測,看看對公司的情緒是否發生了變化。根據這些結果,我們收集了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師是否改變了盈利模式。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:688320 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 27th 2024
SHSE: 688320 2024 年 2 月 27 日收益和收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology from twin analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.27b in 2024. If met, it would imply a decent 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 70% to CN¥0.60. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥1.60b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.90 in 2024. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's prospects following the latest results, administering a pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.

考慮到最新業績,兩位分析師對浙江合川科技的最新共識是,2024年的收入爲12.7億元人民幣。如果得到滿足,這意味着其收入在過去12個月中將大幅增長13%。每股收益預計將增長70%,至0.60元人民幣。在本報告發布之前,分析師一直在模擬2024年的收入爲16.0億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.90元人民幣。事實上,我們可以看到,在最新業績公佈後,分析師對浙江合川科技的前景更加悲觀,他們大幅下調了收入預期,並下調了每股收益預期。

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 5.5% to CN¥34.60.

因此,得知分析師已將目標股價下調5.5%至34.60元人民幣也就不足爲奇了。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 13% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 23% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 19% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Zhejiang Hechuan Technology.

從現在的大局來看,我們可以理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們如何與過去的業績和行業增長預期相比較。我們要強調的是,浙江合川科技的收入增長預計將放緩,預計到2024年底的年化增長率爲13%,遠低於過去五年23%的歷史年增長率。相比之下,該行業中其他有分析師報道的公司的收入預計將以每年19%的速度增長。因此,很明顯,儘管收入增長預計將放緩,但整個行業的增長速度預計也將超過浙江合川科技。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

要了解的最重要的一點是,分析師下調了每股收益的預期,這表明公佈這些業績後,市場情緒明顯下降。不利的一面是,他們還下調了收入預期,預測表明他們的表現將比整個行業差。此外,分析師還下調了目標股價,這表明最新消息加劇了人們對業務內在價值的悲觀情緒。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have analyst estimates for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology going out as far as 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

根據這種思路,我們認爲該業務的長期前景比明年的收益重要得多。根據分析師的估計,浙江合川科技的上市時間將持續到2025年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology that you should be aware of.

別忘了可能仍然存在風險。例如,我們已經確定了浙江合川科技的1個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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