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Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688590) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688590) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

上海新觸軟件有限公司's(SHSE: 688590)股票正在上漲但財務狀況看起來模棱兩可:勢頭會持續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 21:54

Shanghai Newtouch Software (SHSE:688590) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 16% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE today.

上海新觸軟件(上海證券交易所代碼:688590)在股票市場上表現良好,其股票上週大幅上漲了16%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。特別是,我們今天將關注上海新觸軟件的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Newtouch Software is:

因此,根據上述公式,上海新觸軟件的投資回報率爲:

4.9% = CN¥71m ÷ CN¥1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

4.9% = 7100萬元人民幣 ÷ 14億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報” 是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。這意味着,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就會產生0.05元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Shanghai Newtouch Software's Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE

上海新觸軟件的收益增長和4.9%的投資回報率

As you can see, Shanghai Newtouch Software's ROE looks pretty weak. Further, we noted that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.6%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 35% seen by Shanghai Newtouch Software over the last five years is not surprising.

如你所見,上海新觸軟件的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。此外,我們注意到該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的5.6%相似。在這種情況下,上海新觸軟件在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降了35%,這並不奇怪。

So, as a next step, we compared Shanghai Newtouch Software's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 7.5% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將上海新觸軟件的表現與行業進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以7.5%的速度增長收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688590 Past Earnings Growth February 28th 2024
SHSE: 688590 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 28 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Newtouch Software is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,你可能需要檢查一下相對於其行業,上海新觸軟件的市盈率是高還是低。

Is Shanghai Newtouch Software Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

上海 Newtouch Software 是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

儘管該公司過去確實支付了部分股息,但目前不支付股息。這意味着其所有利潤都可能被再投資於該業務。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Newtouch Software can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Shanghai Newtouch Software.

總的來說,我們認爲上海新觸軟件所表現出的表現可以有多種解釋。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲上海新觸軟件確定的三種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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