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Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd (SZSE:002903) Investors Are up 25% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Three Years

Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd (SZSE:002903) Investors Are up 25% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Three Years

玉環數控機牀有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002903)投資者在過去一週上漲了25%,但在過去三年中收益有所下降
Simply Wall St ·  02/28 02:59

While Yuhuan CNC Machine Tool Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002903) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 20% in the last quarter. But that shouldn't obscure the pleasing returns achieved by shareholders over the last three years. To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 53% during that period.

而玉環數控機牀有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:002903)股東們可能普遍感到高興,該股最近表現不佳,上個季度股價下跌了20%。但這不應掩蓋股東在過去三年中獲得的豐厚回報。換句話說,股價表現要好於指數基金,在此期間上漲了53%。

Since it's been a strong week for Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由於對玉環數控機牀有限公司股東來說,這是強勁的一週,讓我們來看看長期基本面的走勢。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。

During the three years of share price growth, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 7.1% per year.

在股價增長的三年中,玉環數控機牀有限公司的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降7.1%。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.

因此,我們懷疑市場是否將每股收益作爲其對公司價值的主要判斷。鑑於這種情況,也應該考慮其他指標。

Languishing at just 0.8%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. We severely doubt anyone is particularly impressed with the modest 1.8% three-year revenue growth rate. While we don't have an obvious theory to explain the share price rise, a closer look at the data might be enlightening.

股息僅爲0.8%,我們懷疑股息是否能在支撐股價方面起到多大作用。我們非常懷疑任何人對1.8%的三年收入增長率給任何人留下特別深刻的印象。儘管我們沒有明顯的理論可以解釋股價上漲,但仔細研究數據可能會有所啓發。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002903 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 28th 2024
SZSE: 002903 收益和收入增長 2024 年 2 月 28 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd, it has a TSR of 58% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。以玉環數控機牀有限公司爲例,在過去3年的股東總回報率爲58%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 20% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.0% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約16%,但玉環數控機牀有限公司股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了20%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中1.0%的年化虧損還要糟糕。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是要更好地了解玉環數控機牀有限公司,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向玉環數控機牀有限公司確定了5個警告信號(至少有2個有點令人擔憂),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

We will like Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些重大的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡玉環數控機牀有限公司。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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