UCAP Cloud Information Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688228) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 26% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's IT industry have P/S ratios below 3.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 130% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd's P/S
Shares in UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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有了這些信息,我們發現UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd的市銷售率高於該行業。看來大多數投資者都無視近期相當有限的增長率,並希望公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收入趨勢的延續最終可能會嚴重壓制股價。
UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd 市銷率的底線
UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd的股價最近強勁上漲,這確實有助於提高其市銷率。僅使用市銷率來確定是否應該出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作爲公司未來前景的實用指南。
相對於該行業,UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd目前的市銷率更高,這一事實很奇怪,因爲其最近三年的增長低於整個行業的預測。當我們觀察到收入增長慢於行業且市銷率高時,我們假設存在股價下跌的巨大風險,這將導致市銷率降低。除非公司的中期業績有顯著改善,否則很難防止市銷率下降到更合理的水平。
另外,你還應該了解我們在UCAP Cloud Information TechnologyLtd發現的這三個警告信號(包括一個不容忽視的警告)。