Earnings Beat: Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Earnings Beat: Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
As you might know, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE:AMR) just kicked off its latest annual results with some very strong numbers. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 4.9% to hit US$3.5b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$49.30, some 8.8% above whatthe analysts had expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
你可能知道,阿爾法冶金資源公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AMR)剛剛以一些非常強勁的數字拉開了其最新的年度業績。總體業績良好,收入比分析師的預期高出4.9%,達到35億美元。法定每股收益(EPS)爲49.30美元,比分析師的預期高出約8.8%。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以在報告中追蹤公司的業績,看看專家對明年的預測,看看對該業務的預期是否有任何變化。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後法定共識估計,以了解明年可能會發生什麼。
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240301/0-d1b92d21121e8dfcca8d7218ea202dab-0-9cc4622543c5b31fdb110fe613e12868.png/big)
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus, from the two analysts covering Alpha Metallurgical Resources, is for revenues of US$3.21b in 2024. This implies a small 7.5% reduction in Alpha Metallurgical Resources' revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to dive 38% to US$34.51 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$2.99b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$31.60 in 2024. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.
考慮到最新業績,兩位負責阿爾法冶金資源的分析師目前的共識是,2024年的收入爲32.1億美元。這意味着在過去的12個月中,阿爾法冶金資源的收入小幅減少了7.5%。同期,法定每股收益預計將下降38%,至34.51美元。在本業績發佈之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲29.9億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲31.60美元。因此,鑑於明年收入和每股收益預測均有所上調,最新業績公佈後,市場情緒似乎略有上升。
It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Alpha Metallurgical Resources 85% to US$406on the back of these upgrades.
在這些升級的支持下,分析師將阿爾法冶金資源的目標股價提高了85%,至406美元也就不足爲奇了。
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 7.5% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 18% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 3.8% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Alpha Metallurgical Resources' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
從現在的大局來看,我們可以理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們如何與過去的業績和行業增長預期相比較。這些估計表明,收入預計將放緩,預計到2024年底年化下降7.5%。這表明與過去五年的18%的年增長率相比大幅下降。相比之下,我們的數據表明,在可預見的將來,預計同一行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入每年將增長3.8%。很明顯,預計Alpha Metallurgical Resources的收入將大大低於整個行業。
The Bottom Line
底線
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Alpha Metallurgical Resources' earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates it is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
對我們來說,最大的收穫是共識的每股收益上調,這表明人們對Alpha Metallurgical Resources明年盈利潛力的看法明顯改善。幸運的是,他們還上調了收入預期,儘管我們的數據表明其表現預計將比整個行業差。目標股價也大幅提高,分析師顯然認爲該業務的內在價值正在提高。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have analyst estimates for Alpha Metallurgical Resources going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
考慮到這一點,我們仍然認爲該業務的長期發展軌跡對於投資者來說更爲重要。根據分析師的估計,Alpha Metallurgical Resources的上市時間將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Alpha Metallurgical Resources (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
儘管如此,仍然有必要考慮永遠存在的投資風險陰影。我們已經在Alpha Metallurgical Resources發現了兩個警告信號(至少有一個讓我們有點不舒服),了解這些信號應該是你投資過程的一部分。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。