Leadway Technology Investment Group Limited (HKG:2086) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 42% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 27% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Leadway Technology Investment Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.5x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Tech industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
SEHK:2086 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024
How Leadway Technology Investment Group Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Leadway Technology Investment Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Leadway Technology Investment Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Leadway Technology Investment Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 36% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Leadway Technology Investment Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Leadway Technology Investment Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Leadway Technology Investment Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Leadway Technology Investment Group that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Leadway Technology Investment Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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