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We Think Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

We Think Anhui Xinhua Media (SHSE:601801) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

我們認爲安徽新華傳媒(SHSE: 601801)可以輕鬆管理債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/01 18:25

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,安徽新華傳媒股份有限公司(SHSE: 601801)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一個非常好的工具。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Anhui Xinhua Media's Debt?

安徽新華傳媒的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Anhui Xinhua Media had CN¥1.15b of debt, an increase on CN¥422.6m, over one year. But it also has CN¥10.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥9.39b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,安徽新華傳媒在一年內有11.5億元人民幣的債務,比4.226億元人民幣的債務有所增加。但它也有105億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲93.9億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601801 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2024
SHSE: 601801 2024 年 3 月 1 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Anhui Xinhua Media's Liabilities

看看安徽新華傳媒的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anhui Xinhua Media had liabilities of CN¥6.66b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥880.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥10.5b and CN¥2.50b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥5.50b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近公佈的資產負債表,安徽新華傳媒的負債爲66.6億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲8.80億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲105億元人民幣,還有價值25億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出550億元人民幣 負債。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Anhui Xinhua Media's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Anhui Xinhua Media has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩的流動性很好地表明安徽新華傳媒的資產負債表幾乎和諾克斯堡一樣強勁。從這個角度來看,貸款人應該像黑帶空手道大師心愛的人一樣感到安全。簡而言之,安徽新華傳媒的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

On the other hand, Anhui Xinhua Media saw its EBIT drop by 2.5% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Anhui Xinhua Media can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

另一方面,安徽新華傳媒的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了2.5%。這種下降如果持續下去,顯然會使債務更難處理。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定安徽新華傳媒能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Anhui Xinhua Media may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Anhui Xinhua Media actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。安徽新華傳媒的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業將其息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的效果仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。令所有股東感到高興的是,在過去三年中,安徽新華傳媒產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。在保持貸款人的支持方面,沒有什麼比流入的現金更好的了。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anhui Xinhua Media has CN¥9.39b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.4b, being 165% of its EBIT. So is Anhui Xinhua Media's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Anhui Xinhua Media, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,安徽新華傳媒擁有93.9億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。它以14億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的165%。那麼安徽新華傳媒的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果你對安徽新華傳媒感興趣,你很可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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