Optimism Around Ambac Financial Group (NYSE:AMBC) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 8.5% This Past Week
Optimism Around Ambac Financial Group (NYSE:AMBC) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 8.5% This Past Week
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMBC), since the last five years saw the share price fall 23%. On top of that, the share price is down 8.5% in the last week.
爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但是,即使是最好的選股者也只能通過以下方式獲勝 一些 選擇。目前,一些股東可能會質疑他們對Ambac金融集團有限公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AMBC)的投資,因爲在過去五年中,股價下跌了23%。最重要的是,上週股價下跌了8.5%。
After losing 8.5% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在上週下跌8.5%之後,值得研究該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
儘管一些人繼續教導高效市場假說,但事實證明,市場是反應過度的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Ambac Financial Group became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
Ambac金融集團在過去五年中實現了盈利。這通常會被視爲利好,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。其他指標可能會讓我們更好地了解其價值如何隨着時間的推移而變化。
Arguably, the revenue drop of 7.8% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.
可以說,在過去的五年中,收入每年下降7.8%,這表明該公司無法長期增長。這可以解釋股價疲軟的原因。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240305/0-5e944c91a19d07cab7fc883f940e57b2-0-d7cc3ccadc73dc7b0bd9c8088a4fb423.png/big)
We know that Ambac Financial Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
我們知道Ambac Financial Group在過去三年中提高了利潤,但是未來會怎樣?您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Investors in Ambac Financial Group had a tough year, with a total loss of 8.5%, against a market gain of about 29%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Ambac Financial Group (2 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.
Ambac Financial Group的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損爲8.5%,而市場漲幅約爲29%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中4%的年化虧損還要糟糕。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們已經爲Ambac Financial Group確定了3個警告信號(其中2個不容忽視),你應該注意這些信號。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找中獎投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費名單可能只是門票。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。