Astro-century Education&Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300654) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 31% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 61%.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.7x, you may consider Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 7.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
SZSE:300654 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2024
How Has Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 39% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.5% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it concerning that Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd's P/S?
Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Astro-century Education&TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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