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Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down Shunfa Hengye Corporation (SZSE:000631) Stock

Weak Financial Prospects Seem To Be Dragging Down Shunfa Hengye Corporation (SZSE:000631) Stock

疲軟的財務前景似乎拖累了順發恒業公司(SZSE: 000631)的股票
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 18:01

With its stock down 20% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shunfa Hengye (SZSE:000631). Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company's fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators. Specifically, we decided to study Shunfa Hengye's ROE in this article.

由於其股票在過去三個月中下跌了20%,因此很容易忽視順發恒業(深圳證券交易所代碼:000631)。鑑於從長遠來看,股票價格通常由公司的基本面驅動,在這種情況下,基本面看起來相當疲軟,我們決定研究該公司的關鍵財務指標。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究順發恒業的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shunfa Hengye is:

因此,根據上述公式,順發恒業的投資回報率爲:

5.4% = CN¥320m ÷ CN¥5.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

5.4% = 3.2億元人民幣 ÷ 59億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報” 是企業在過去一年中獲得的收入。另一種看法是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就能獲得0.05元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 “保留” 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shunfa Hengye's Earnings Growth And 5.4% ROE

順發恒業的收益增長和5.4%的投資回報率的並排比較

On the face of it, Shunfa Hengye's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 5.4%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Shunfa Hengye's five year net income decline rate was 45%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

從表面上看,順發恒業的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。但是,其投資回報率與行業平均水平的5.4%相似,因此我們不會完全解散該公司。話雖如此,順發恒業五年淨收入下降率爲45%。請記住,該公司的投資回報率確實略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 5.2% in the same 5-year period, we still found Shunfa Hengye's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

接下來,當我們與該行業進行比較時,該行業在5年同期將收益縮減了5.2%,我們仍然發現順發恒業的表現相當慘淡,因爲該公司的收益萎縮速度快於該行業。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000631 Past Earnings Growth March 5th 2024
SZSE: 000631 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 5 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is 000631 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。000631 估值合理嗎?這張關於公司內在價值的信息圖包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Shunfa Hengye Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

順發恒業是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

With a three-year median payout ratio as high as 378%,Shunfa Hengye's shrinking earnings don't come as a surprise as the company is paying a dividend which is beyond its means. Its usually very hard to sustain dividend payments that are higher than reported profits. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Shunfa Hengye.

順發恒業的三年派息率中位數高達378%,收益的萎縮並不令人意外,因爲該公司正在支付超出其承受能力的股息。通常很難維持高於報告利潤的股息支付。我們的風險儀表板應包含我們爲順發恒業確定的4種風險。

Additionally, Shunfa Hengye has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,順發恒業已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心派發股息。

Summary

摘要

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Shunfa Hengye. Specifically, it has shown quite an unsatisfactory performance as far as earnings growth is concerned, and a poor ROE and an equally poor rate of reinvestment seem to be the reason behind this inadequate performance. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Shunfa Hengye and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

總的來說,在決定任何與順發恒業有關的投資行動之前,我們會經過深思熟慮。具體而言,就收益增長而言,它的表現相當不令人滿意,而糟糕的投資回報率和同樣糟糕的再投資率似乎是表現不佳的原因。到目前爲止,我們只是通過研究公司的基本面來摸清公司過去業績的表面。你可以自己研究順發恒業,看看這張免費的過去收益、收入和現金流的詳細圖表,看看它過去的表現。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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