share_log

Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 46% If They Invested Three Years Ago

Perfect World (SZSE:002624) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 46% If They Invested Three Years Ago

完美世界(SZSE:002624)如果投資者在三年前進行投資,他們將蒙受46%的損失
Simply Wall St ·  03/05 20:52

Perfect World Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002624) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 14% in the last month. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. After all, the share price is down 52% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

完美世界有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002624)的股東應該很高興看到上個月股價上漲了14%。但這並不能掩蓋過去三年來不那麼令人印象深刻的回報。畢竟,股價在過去三年中下跌了52%,表現大大低於市場。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在讓我們來看看公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the three years that the share price fell, Perfect World's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 33% each year. In comparison the 22% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.

在股價下跌的三年中,完美世界的每股收益(EPS)每年下降33%。相比之下,22%的複合年股價下跌幅度沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,儘管此前曾令人失望,但股東必須有一定的信心,從長遠來看,情況會有所改善。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002624 Earnings Per Share Growth March 6th 2024
SZSE: 002624 每股收益增長 2024 年 3 月 6 日

This free interactive report on Perfect World's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查該股,這份關於完美世界收益、收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Perfect World the TSR over the last 3 years was -46%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。我們注意到,完美世界在過去3年的股東總回報率爲-46%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Perfect World shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 16%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Perfect World (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

我們遺憾地報告,完美世界的股東今年下跌了18%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這比整個市場16%的跌幅還要嚴重。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨8%的總虧損。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現了 3 個完美世界的警告信號(1 個很重要!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。

Of course Perfect World may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,完美世界可能不是最值得購買的股票。因此,您可能希望看到這批免費的成長股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論