Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002773) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.6x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 55x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 86% gain to the company's bottom line. As a result, it also grew EPS by 23% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 19% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 41%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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