Those holding Ningxia Building Materials Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600449) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 32% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.1% isn't as impressive.
Following the firm bounce in price, Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 68%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 77% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 291% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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