Qingdao Doublestar Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000599) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 17% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.3x, you may still consider Qingdao DoublestarLtd as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Qingdao DoublestarLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Qingdao DoublestarLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Qingdao DoublestarLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Qingdao DoublestarLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Qingdao DoublestarLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Still, revenue has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Qingdao DoublestarLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Qingdao DoublestarLtd's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Qingdao DoublestarLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Qingdao DoublestarLtd you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Qingdao DoublestarLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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