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What Is Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited's (SZSE:000625) Share Price Doing?

What Is Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited's (SZSE:000625) Share Price Doing?

重慶長安汽車有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000625)的股價在做什麼?
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 23:32

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited (SZSE:000625). The company's stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the SZSE over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Chongqing Changan Automobile's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

今天我們要來看看歷史悠久的重慶長安汽車有限公司(SZSE: 000625)。在過去的幾個月中,深交所的價格大幅上漲,該公司的股票引起了廣泛關注。儘管仍未達到年度峯值,但最近股價的上漲推動該公司朝着正確的方向前進。由於許多分析師都在報道這隻大盤股,我們可能預計,任何對價格敏感的公告都已計入該股的股價。但是,該股票還能以相對便宜的價格交易嗎?今天我們將分析重慶長安汽車前景和估值的最新數據,看看機會是否仍然存在。

Is Chongqing Changan Automobile Still Cheap?

重慶長安汽車還便宜嗎?

According to our valuation model, Chongqing Changan Automobile seems to be fairly priced at around 12% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Chongqing Changan Automobile today, you'd be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is CN¥18.11, then there isn't much room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. Furthermore, Chongqing Changan Automobile's low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.

根據我們的估值模型,重慶長安汽車的定價似乎相當合理,比我們的內在價值低約12%,這意味着如果你今天購買重慶長安汽車,你將爲此付出合理的代價。而且,如果你認爲該公司的真實價值爲18.11元人民幣,那麼除了目前的交易價格外,股價沒有太大的上漲空間。此外,重慶長安汽車的低貝塔值意味着該股的波動性小於整個市場。

Can we expect growth from Chongqing Changan Automobile?

我們能指望重慶長安汽車的增長嗎?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000625 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2024
SZSE: 000625 2024年3月13日收益和收入增長

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Chongqing Changan Automobile, at least in the near future.

尋求投資組合增長的投資者可能需要在購買公司股票之前考慮公司的前景。儘管價值投資者會爭辯說,最重要的是相對於價格的內在價值,但更有說服力的投資論點是以低廉的價格獲得高增長潛力。但是,由於預計未來幾年利潤將出現極其負的兩位數變化,因此短期增長肯定不是買入決定的驅動力。重慶長安汽車似乎面臨很大的不確定性,至少在不久的將來是如此。

What This Means For You

這對你意味着什麼

Are you a shareholder? Currently, 000625 appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

你是股東嗎?目前,000625似乎圍繞其公允價值進行交易,但鑑於未來負回報帶來的不確定性,這可能是降低投資組合風險的合適時機。您目前的股票敞口是否最適合您的整個投資組合?持有負面展望股票的機會成本是否過高?在對股票做出決定之前,請先看看其基本面是否發生了變化。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 000625 for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystalize your views on 000625 should the price fluctuate below its true value.

你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果您對000625的關注已有一段時間,那麼鑑於其交易價格接近其公允價值,現在可能不是最佳的買入時機。該股似乎以公允價值交易,這意味着錯誤定價帶來的好處較小。除此之外,負增長前景增加了持有股票的風險。但是,我們今天還沒有考慮其他重要因素,如果價格波動低於其真實價值,這些因素可以幫助您明確對000625的看法。

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Chongqing Changan Automobile.

有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。爲了幫助解決這個問題,我們發現了 2 個警告信號(1 個可能很嚴重!)在購買重慶長安汽車的任何股票之前,你應該注意這一點。

If you are no longer interested in Chongqing Changan Automobile, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再對重慶長安汽車感興趣,可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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