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Shuhua Sports Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605299) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

Shuhua Sports Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605299) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

舒華體育有限公司's(SHSE: 605299)股票正在飆升但財務狀況似乎前後矛盾:上漲趨勢會持續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/16 21:02

Shuhua Sports' (SHSE:605299) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shuhua Sports' ROE today.

舒華體育(上海證券交易所代碼:605299)的股票在過去一個月中上漲了35%。但是,我們決定關注公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並未給公司的財務狀況提供明確的信號。特別是,我們今天將關注舒華體育的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shuhua Sports is:

因此,根據上述公式,舒華體育的投資回報率爲:

9.8% = CN¥129m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

9.8% = 1.29億元人民幣 ÷ 13億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。這意味着,每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.10元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Shuhua Sports' Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

舒華體育的收益增長和9.8%的投資回報率

On the face of it, Shuhua Sports' ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.4% doesn't go unnoticed by us. But seeing Shuhua Sports' five year net income decline of 5.0% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

從表面上看,舒華體育的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。但是,其投資回報率遠高於行業平均水平的7.4%,這一事實並沒有被我們忽視。但是,鑑於舒華體育的五年淨收入在過去五年中下降了5.0%,我們可能會重新考慮這個問題。請記住,該公司的投資回報率一開始有點低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,這在某種程度上解釋了收益的萎縮。

So, as a next step, we compared Shuhua Sports' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 9.3% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將舒華體育的表現與行業進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以9.3%的速度增長收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605299 Past Earnings Growth March 17th 2024
SHSE: 605299 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 17 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is 605299 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。605299 的價值是否合理?這張關於公司內在價值的信息圖包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Shuhua Sports Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

舒華體育是否有效地將利潤再投資?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 86% (implying that 14% of the profits are retained), most of Shuhua Sports' profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent.

舒華體育的三年派息率中位數很高,爲86%(這意味着保留了14%的利潤),因此舒華體育的大部分利潤都支付給了股東,這解釋了該公司收益萎縮的原因。由於只有一小部分被再投資到該業務,收益增長顯然會很低或根本不存在。

Moreover, Shuhua Sports has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,舒華體育已經派發股息三年了,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到,儘管收益一直在萎縮,但股東更喜歡持續的分紅。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shuhua Sports can be open to many interpretations. Primarily, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which explains the lack of growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們覺得舒華體育的表現可以有多種解讀。首先,儘管投資回報率適中,但我們對收益仍缺乏增長感到失望。請記住,該公司將一小部分利潤再投資,這解釋了增長不足的原因。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計公司的收益增長率將大幅提高。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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