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Is Bengang Steel Plates (SZSE:000761) A Risky Investment?

Is Bengang Steel Plates (SZSE:000761) A Risky Investment?

本鋼板塊(深圳證券交易所代碼:000761)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/16 21:22

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Bengang Steel Plates Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000761) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,本鋼板材有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000761)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以用新的資本或自由現金流還清債務。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Bengang Steel Plates's Net Debt?

本鋼板塊的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Bengang Steel Plates had CN¥8.04b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥10.8b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.31b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥5.73b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,本鋼板塊的債務爲80.4億元人民幣,低於去年同期的108億元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲23.1億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲57.3億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000761 Debt to Equity History March 17th 2024
SZSE: 000761 2024 年 3 月 17 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Bengang Steel Plates' Balance Sheet?

本鋼板塊的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Bengang Steel Plates had liabilities of CN¥19.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥8.54b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.31b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.18b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥22.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,本鋼板業的負債爲199億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲85.4億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有23.1億元人民幣的現金以及價值31.8億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出229億元人民幣。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥14.1b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Bengang Steel Plates would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bengang Steel Plates will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這一赤字給這家141億元人民幣的公司蒙上了陰影,就像一個聳立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。歸根結底,如果債權人要求還款,Bengang Steel Plates可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲Bengang Steel Plates需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Bengang Steel Plates made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥58b, which is a fall of 9.4%. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的12個月中,本鋼板材在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至580億元人民幣,下降9.4%。我們更希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Bengang Steel Plates had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥2.0b. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥2.2b. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Bengang Steel Plates has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

重要的是,Bengang Steel Plates去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。其息稅前利潤虧損高達20億元人民幣。當我們將其與巨額負債一起看時,我們對公司並不特別有信心。在對股票過於感興趣之前,我們希望看到一些強勁的短期改善。例如,我們不希望看到去年22億元人民幣的虧損重演。在那之前,我們認爲這是一隻風險股票。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如-Bengang Steel Plates 有 1 個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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