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Is China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power (SHSE:600482) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power (SHSE:600482) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

中國船舶工業集團電力公司(SHSE: 600482)是否受到債務負擔的壓力?
Simply Wall St ·  03/17 20:59

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600482) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,中國船舶工業集團電力有限公司(SHSE: 600482)也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's Debt?

中國船舶工業集團鮑爾的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power had debt of CN¥10.7b, up from CN¥8.48b in one year. But it also has CN¥25.2b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥14.5b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,中國船舶工業集團電力公司的債務爲107億元人民幣,高於一年內的84.8億元人民幣。但它也有252億元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲145億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600482 Debt to Equity History March 18th 2024
SHSE: 600482 2024 年 3 月 18 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's Balance Sheet?

中國船舶工業集團Power的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power had liabilities of CN¥37.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥12.9b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥25.2b and CN¥22.5b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.36b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,中國船舶工業集團電力的負債爲371億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲129億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲252億元人民幣,還有價值225億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出23.6億元人民幣。

Of course, China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power has a market capitalization of CN¥43.5b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

當然,中國船舶工業集團的市值爲435億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。儘管負債值得關注,但中國船舶工業集團電力公司擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來收益將決定中國造船工業集團Power未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Over 12 months, China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power reported revenue of CN¥42b, which is a gain of 5.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在過去的12個月中,中國船舶工業集團電力公佈的收入爲420億元人民幣,增長了5.7%,儘管它沒有報告任何利息和稅前收益。我們通常希望看到無利可圖的公司實現更快的增長,但每家公司都有自己的發展。

So How Risky Is China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power?

那麼,中國船舶工業集團的權力風險有多大?

Although China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥443m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

儘管中國造船工業集團電力在過去十二個月中出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損,但其法定利潤爲4.43億元人民幣。因此,從面值來看,考慮到現金,我們認爲短期內風險不大。在我們看到息稅前利潤爲正數之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,尤其是因爲收入增長相當溫和。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,中國船舶工業集團Power有1個警告標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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