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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's (SHSE:603868) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's (SHSE:603868) Earnings

我們認爲上海飛科電器(SHSE: 603868)的收益存在問題
Simply Wall St ·  03/18 02:34

Unsurprisingly, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603868) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

不出所料,上海飛科電器有限公司's(上海證券交易所代碼:603868)的股價因其健康的收益報告而表現強勁。但是,我們認爲股東們可能遺漏了一些與數字相關的細節。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603868 Earnings and Revenue History March 18th 2024
SHSE: 603868 2024 年 3 月 18 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's Earnings

根據上海飛科電器的收益檢查現金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低”。

For the year to December 2023, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance had an accrual ratio of -0.12. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.2b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥1.02b. Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,上海飛科電器的應計率爲-0.12。這表明其自由現金流遠超過其法定利潤。實際上,它去年的自由現金流爲12億元人民幣,遠遠超過其10.2億元人民幣的法定利潤。上海飛科電器的自由現金流比去年有所改善,總體而言,這是值得期待的。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

Surprisingly, given Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥155m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於上海飛科電器的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其票面利潤實際上是由1.55億元人民幣的不尋常項目提振的。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。如果上海飛科電器沒有看到這種捐款重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其本年度的利潤將下降。

Our Take On Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's Profit Performance

我們對上海飛科電器盈利表現的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance you should be aware of.

總之,上海飛科電器的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤是由不尋常的項目提振的。基於這些因素,很難判斷上海飛科電器的利潤是否合理地反映了其潛在的盈利能力。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。一個很好的例子:我們發現了一個你應該注意的上海飛科電器警告標誌。

Our examination of Shanghai Flyco Electrical Appliance has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對上海飛科電器的審查側重於某些可能使其收益好於實際的因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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