Those holding Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300584) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 25% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 3.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
SZSE:300584 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024
What Does Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.2%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 33% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 45% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical's P/S
The large bounce in Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Nanjing Hicin Pharmaceutical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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