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Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Cathay Biotech Inc.'s (SHSE:688065) Mixed Fundamentals?

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Cathay Biotech Inc.'s (SHSE:688065) Mixed Fundamentals?

市場對國泰生物科技公司的容忍度低嗎?”s (SHSE: 688065) 混合基本面?
Simply Wall St ·  03/18 18:42

With its stock down 15% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Cathay Biotech (SHSE:688065). It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cathay Biotech's ROE today.

由於其股票在過去三個月中下跌了15%,很容易被忽視(上海證券交易所代碼:688065)。看來市場可能完全忽視了公司基本面的積極方面,並決定更多地考慮負面方面。股票價格通常由公司的長期財務業績驅動,因此我們決定更多地關注公司的財務業績。特別是,我們今天將關注凱賽生物的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cathay Biotech is:

因此,根據上述公式,凱賽生物的投資回報率爲:

2.4% = CN¥367m ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

2.4% = 3.67億元人民幣 ÷ 150億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回報” 是企業去年獲得的收入。另一種思考方式是,公司每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,就能獲得0.02元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Cathay Biotech's Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

國泰生物的收益增長和2.4%的投資回報率的並排比較

As you can see, Cathay Biotech's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.0%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Cathay Biotech over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

如你所見,凱賽生物的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。即使與7.0%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。因此,凱賽生物在過去五年中收益持平可能是其投資回報率較低的結果。

We then compared Cathay Biotech's net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 12% in the same 5-year period.

然後,我們將凱賽生物的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,發現同期的行業平均增長率爲12%。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688065 Past Earnings Growth March 18th 2024
SHSE: 688065 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 18 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Cathay Biotech fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益增長是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定該股的未來是充滿希望還是不祥。與其他公司相比,國泰生物科技的估值是否公平?這三種估值衡量標準可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Cathay Biotech Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

國泰生物科技能否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 31% (meaning the company retains69% of profits) in the last three-year period, Cathay Biotech's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管在過去三年中,凱賽生物的三年派息率中位數爲31%(這意味着公司保留了69%的利潤),但其收益增長基本持平。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

Additionally, Cathay Biotech has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,凱賽生物已在三年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心派發股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Cathay Biotech can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲凱賽生物表現出的表現可以有多種解釋。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。話雖如此,我們研究了分析師的最新預測,發現儘管該公司過去曾縮減收益,但分析師預計其未來收益將增長。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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