Strong Week for Yunnan Tourism (SZSE:002059) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss
Strong Week for Yunnan Tourism (SZSE:002059) Shareholders Doesn't Alleviate Pain of Five-year Loss
Yunnan Tourism Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002059) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 15% in the last month. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. After all, the share price is down 25% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.
雲南旅遊股份有限公司(SZSE:002059)的股東應該很高興看到上個月股價上漲了15%。但是,如果你看看過去的五年,回報並不理想。畢竟,當時股價下跌了25%,表現大大低於市場。
The recent uptick of 7.3% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
最近上漲7.3%可能是即將發生的事情的積極信號,因此讓我們來看一下歷史基本面。
Yunnan Tourism isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
雲南旅遊目前尚未盈利,因此大多數分析師會着眼於收入的增長,以了解基礎業務的增長速度。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常預計收入會有良好的增長。這是因爲快速的收入增長可以很容易地推斷出來預測利潤,通常規模相當大。
In the last five years Yunnan Tourism saw its revenue shrink by 32% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 5% compound, over five years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. We doubt many shareholders are delighted with this share price performance. It is possible for businesses to bounce back but as Buffett says, 'turnarounds seldom turn'.
在過去的五年中,雲南旅遊業的收入每年減少32%。這絕對比大多數盈利前公司報告的結果要差。從表面上看,我們認爲股價在五年內複合下跌了5%,這完全是基本面惡化所證明的。我們懷疑許多股東對這種股價表現感到滿意。企業有可能反彈,但正如巴菲特所說,“轉機很少會轉機”。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
If you are thinking of buying or selling Yunnan Tourism stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
如果您正在考慮買入或賣出雲南旅遊股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We regret to report that Yunnan Tourism shareholders are down 23% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 11%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Yunnan Tourism has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
我們遺憾地報告,雲南旅遊股東今年下跌了23%。不幸的是,這比整個市場11%的跌幅還要嚴重。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中4%的年化虧損還要糟糕。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,冒險吧——雲南旅遊局有 1 個警示標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,請看一下我們預計收益將增加的這份免費公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。