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Is Giant Network Group (SZSE:002558) A Risky Investment?

Is Giant Network Group (SZSE:002558) A Risky Investment?

巨人網絡集團(深圳證券交易所:002558)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/19 18:59

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Giant Network Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002558) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:“波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,巨人網絡集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002558)也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Giant Network Group's Net Debt?

巨人網絡集團的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Giant Network Group had CN¥630.0m of debt, up from CN¥603.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.19b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.56b net cash position.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,巨人網絡集團的債務爲6.30億元人民幣,高於去年同期的6.030億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但另一方面,它也有21.9億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲15.6億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002558 Debt to Equity History March 19th 2024
SZSE: 002558 2024 年 3 月 19 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

A Look At Giant Network Group's Liabilities

看看巨人網絡集團的負債

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Giant Network Group had liabilities of CN¥1.46b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥74.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.19b and CN¥201.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥855.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,巨人網絡集團的負債爲14.6億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲7,430萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲21.9億元人民幣,還有價值2.01億元人民幣的應收賬款。所以它實際上有8.55億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Giant Network Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Giant Network Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,巨人網絡集團可能會輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未緊張。簡而言之,巨人網絡集團的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

But the other side of the story is that Giant Network Group saw its EBIT decline by 5.3% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Giant Network Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

但故事的另一面是,巨人網絡集團的息稅前利潤比去年下降了5.3%。如果收益繼續以這種速度下降,公司管理債務負擔的難度可能會越來越大。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定巨人網絡集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Giant Network Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Giant Network Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。Giant Network Group的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。令所有股東感到高興的是,在過去三年中,巨人網絡集團產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Giant Network Group has net cash of CN¥1.56b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥883m, being 118% of its EBIT. So is Giant Network Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Giant Network Group you should be aware of.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,巨人網絡集團的淨現金爲15.6億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。它以8.83億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的118%。那麼巨人網絡集團的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了巨人網絡集團的1個警告信號,你應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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