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These 4 Measures Indicate That Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd (SHSE:688029) Is Using Debt Safely

These 4 Measures Indicate That Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd (SHSE:688029) Is Using Debt Safely

這4項措施表明微科技(南京)有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:688029)正在安全地使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/19 19:04

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Micro-Tech (Nanjing) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688029) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到微科技(南京)有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:688029)確實在其業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd's Debt?

微科技(南京)有限公司的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd had CN¥54.1m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But it also has CN¥1.29b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.24b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,微科技(南京)有限公司在一年內有5,410萬元人民幣的債務,比零有所增加。但它也有12.9億元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲12.4億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688029 Debt to Equity History March 19th 2024
SHSE: 688029 2024 年 3 月 19 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd's Balance Sheet?

微科技(南京)有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥551.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥68.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.29b and CN¥358.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.03b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,微科技(南京)有限公司的負債爲5.518億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲6,850萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的12.9億元現金和價值3.581億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出10.3億元人民幣 負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,微科技(南京)有限公司可能會輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘。簡而言之,微科技(南京)有限公司的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Even more impressive was the fact that Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd grew its EBIT by 115% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更令人印象深刻的是,微科技(南京)有限公司的息稅前利潤在十二個月內增長了115%。如果這種增長得以維持,將使未來幾年的債務更加易於管理。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定微科技(南京)有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管微科技(南京)有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。從最近三年來看,微科技(南京)有限公司的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的21%,低於我們的預期。這種疲軟的現金轉換使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd has net cash of CN¥1.24b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 115% over the last year. So we don't think Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Micro-Tech (Nanjing)Ltd .

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,微科技(南京)有限公司的淨現金爲12.4億元人民幣,流動資產也多於負債。它的息稅前利潤比去年增長了115%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。因此,我們認爲微科技(南京)有限公司使用債務沒有風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在微科技(南京)有限公司發現的1個警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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